MANIFOLD
US Politics
AI
News
Browse
About
App
Sign in
Dark
Light
(auto)
Columbia Protests
OpenAI - GPT2
Legal Weed
NBA Playoffs
Israel-Arab Conflict
House Speaker
Trump Trial
Trump VP
Biden-Trump Polls
Presidential Debates
Twitter
Manifold Sweepstakes
TikTok Ban
Taylor Swift
Jason Stonks
Key Races
FSK Bridge
One Piece
Music AI Race
Chess
Manifest
TV Props
WWDC 2024
ACX 2024
Hard Forkasts
FTX claim %
Will FTX creditors get back more than 100%?
76%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Crypto
#
FTX Insolvency Crisis
#
FTX
41
Ṁ1.2K
FTX Recovery %
97%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
FTX
80
Ṁ1.4K
FTX US Recovery %
98%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
FTX
46
Ṁ870
What % of assets will FTX international clients get back?
98%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Economics
11
Ṁ230
What percentage of their assets will FTX.com retail investors get back?
98%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
FTX Liquidity Crunch (Nov 2022)
64
Ṁ1.2K
What percentage of their money will FTX customers get back, on average?
97%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
FTX Insolvency Crisis
21
Ṁ850
How many "cents on the dollar" will FTX international clients get back?
94%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Economics
#
Crypto Prices
#
FTX Insolvency Crisis
38
Ṁ530
What % of their deposits will the typical FTX depositor with less than $100k get back? Resolves to %
95%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Ancient Markets
20
Ṁ430
Politics
News
Browse
About
Sign in