2025 Oscars Ballot

Check out @Ziddletwix's dashboard too, which is basically the same thing! We both made dashboards with markets for all Oscars categories that close before the winners are announced. (Next year we will coordinate better, we promise!)

100%62%
Anora
12%
The Brutalist
1.1%
A Complete Unknown
20%
Conclave
100%64%
Sean Baker (Anora)
3%
Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez)
28%
Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)
4%
Coralie Fargeat (The Substance)
100%21%
Mikey Madison (Anora)
1.6%
Cynthia Erivo (Wicked)
1.6%
Karla Sofía Gascón (Emilia Pérez)
67%
Demi Moore (The Substance)
100%67%
Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
25%
Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)
1.9%
Colman Domingo (Sing Sing)
5%
Ralph Fiennes (Conclave)
100%96%
Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)
0.2%
Monica Barbaro (A Complete Unknown)
3%
Ariana Grande (Wicked)
0.3%
Felicity Jones (The Brutalist)
100%97%
Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
0.6%
Yura Borisov (Anora)
0.7%
Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown)
1.1%
Guy Pearce (The Brutalist)
100%29%
Flow
3%
Inside Out 2
0.9%
Memoir of a Snail
1.4%
Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
100%59%
No Other Land
5%
Black Box Diaries
20%
Porcelain War
6%
Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat
100%70%
I’m Still Here (Brazil)
20%
Emilia Pérez (France)
3%
Flow (Latvia)
2%
The Girl with the Needle (Denmark)
100%67%
Anora (Sean Baker)
4%
The Brutalist (Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold)
15%
A Real Pain (Jesse Eisenberg)
2%
September 5 (Moritz Binder and Tim Fehlbaum)
100%95%
Conclave (Peter Straughan)
1.0%
A Complete Unknown (James Mangold and Jay Cocks)
1.2%
Emilia Pérez (Jacques Audiard)
1.7%
Nickel Boys (RaMell Ross and Joslyn Barnes)
100%67%
The Brutalist (Lol Crawley)
11%
Dune: Part Two (Greig Fraser)
4%
Emilia Pérez (Paul Guilhaume)
3%
Maria (Ed Lachman)
100%19%
Anora (Sean Baker)
9%
The Brutalist (Dávid Jancsó)
63%
Conclave (Nick Emerson)
4%
Emilia Pérez (Juliette Welfling)
100%84%
Wicked
4%
The Brutalist
4%
Conclave
3%
Dune: Part Two
100%93%
Wicked
1.6%
A Complete Unknown
2%
Conclave
1.6%
Gladiator II
100%90%
Dune: Part Two
0.9%
Alien: Romulus
1.6%
Better Man
4%
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
100%73%
The Brutalist (Daniel Blumberg)
10%
Conclave (Volker Bertelmann)
3%
Emilia Pérez (Clément Ducol and Camille)
6%
Wicked (John Powell and Stephen Schwartz)
100%73%
“El Mal” (Emilia Pérez)
6%
“The Journey” (The Six Triple Eight)
5%
“Like A Bird” (Sing Sing)
10%
“Mi Camino” (Emilia Pérez)
100%69%
Dune: Part Two
11%
A Complete Unknown
6%
Emilia Pérez
12%
Wicked
100%95%
The Substance
1.2%
A Different Man
1.2%
Emilia Pérez
1.2%
Nosferatu
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules