Will Biden's election polling drop at least 3% the week after the classified document report?
11
242
190
resolved Feb 16
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if Biden's polling average on RCP's Trump vs Biden polls for Feb 15 is at least 3% lower than for Feb 8 (which is showing as 43.9%).

Context: That is 1 week from the release of Special Council Hur's report on Biden's classified documents handling, which concluded that no charges are warranted but portrayed him as "a sympathetic, well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory". https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/08/biden-classified-documents-charges-special-counsel-00140509

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43.9%. Went up and down a tiny bit and ended up where it was last week.

sold Ṁ24 NO

And the same question with a 1 month timeframe: