Will there be a state that Biden leads in polls by 5% or more that he ends up losing?
Basic
11
แน647Nov 9
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The final polling average prior to election. The polling average I use will include Kennedy and all other applicable third party candidates.
Get แน600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump ever lose his lead in the polls before Election Day 2024 for two consecutive weeks? [RCP]
54% chance
Will Donald Trump ever lose his lead in the polls before Election Day 2024 for four consecutive weeks?
24% chance
What will be Biden's largest polling advantage in a state that he loses?
Will Donald Trump ever lose his lead in the polls before Election Day 2024 for three consecutive weeks?
29% chance
If Biden loses [state] will he win the 2024 presidential election?
Will FiveThirtyEight's final 2024 presidential forecast give Biden a >=80% chance of winning?
3% chance
Will Donald Trump lead Joe Biden by at least this much in the 538 polling average at any point in July 2024?