Resolves YES if by the end of 2023, he is indicted or charged with crimes related to unlawful handling of documents - e.g. in relation to possession of sensitive or classified documents, compliance with law enforcement or court order about such documents, or compliance with the Presidential Records Act. (It is not necessary that the documents be classified.)
Articles of impeachment will not count for this question - this is about charges in the criminal justice system.
Note: These resolution criteria are somewhat subjective, I may try to improve them based on feedback, treat them as a draft initially.
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@RiverBellamy Good question, I'm not sure, what do people think?
On one hand, they are generally described as charges.
On the other hand, I was originally thinking of charges in the criminal justice system
All criminal charges are at least somewhat political - prosecutors are either elected or appointed by elected officials, precisely because they exercise judgment and discretion in deciding whether and what charges to bring. But yes, impeachment is much more political than most criminal charges.
The constitution says that a president can be impeached for "high crimes and misdemeanors".
There is certainly an argument that a former official like Trump or Pence could also be impeached - the effect, if convicted by the senate, would be to bar them from holding office in the future.
I'm not sure I have a strong view here, just that there should be a clear answer as people might think the probability of an impeachment dominates.
@RiverBellamy It does affect the question as he is dramatically more likely to be impeached than charged. I would be all in on YES at 10% if that was the question ;)