Will Joe Biden's approval rating be higher than 45% on election day?
Nov 6

per 538's average. 45.0% resolves no, 45.1 resolves yes.


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This market seems wildly inconsistent with Biden having a 50% chance of winning the election.

@riverwalk3 There are plenty of people who don't like Biden but hate Trump even more.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 The double haters are splitting close to 50-50. Trump has consistent ratings around 44%. Biden likely needs to be at 45% to make the election a tossup.

Right now Biden is at 39%, which is why Trump is leading in the popular vote polls.

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