Will Joe Biden's approval rating reach 50% in his first term?
34
105
Ṁ5.5KṀ670
2025
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve YES if Biden's approval rating as measured by FiveThirtyEight (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/) reaches 50% before the end of his first term, and resolves NO otherwise.
The last full day of Biden's first term is January 19, 2025, unless he leaves office before then. If FiveThirtyEight stops measuring Biden's approval rating, I'll go with a suitable alternate measure if that exists, and otherwise resolve N/A.
Related markets:
https://manifold.markets/Hamm103/will-joe-bidens-approval-rating-rea
https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-bidens-approval-ever-exceed-50
https://manifold.markets/LivInTheLookingGlass/on-election-day-what-will-538-say-j
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
7% chance
Will Joe Biden receive more than 50.00% of the popular vote in the 2024 general presidential election?
49% chance
Will Biden’s approval ever exceed 50% (sans emergency)?
25% chance
Will Biden's approval rating be 50% or higher at the end of August 2024?
19% chance
Will Joe Biden receive more than 51.00% of the popular vote in the 2024 general presidential election?
33% chance
If Biden is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
20% chance
Will Biden's approval rating hit all time low again before the presidential election?
43% chance
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be higher than 45% on election day?
25% chance
Will Joe Biden's Approval Rating Reach 50% or Higher?
12% chance