Will Joe Biden's approval rating reach 50% in his first term?
Basic
35
Ṁ7.0k2025
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve YES if Biden's approval rating as measured by FiveThirtyEight (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/) reaches 50% before the end of his first term, and resolves NO otherwise.
The last full day of Biden's first term is January 19, 2025, unless he leaves office before then. If FiveThirtyEight stops measuring Biden's approval rating, I'll go with a suitable alternate measure if that exists, and otherwise resolve N/A.
Related markets:
https://manifold.markets/Hamm103/will-joe-bidens-approval-rating-rea
https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-bidens-approval-ever-exceed-50
https://manifold.markets/LivInTheLookingGlass/on-election-day-what-will-538-say-j
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Biden's Approval Rating Reach 50%?
21% chance
Will Biden’s approval ever exceed 50% (sans emergency)?
20% chance
Will Joe Biden's Approval Rating Reach 50% or Higher?
4% chance
Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go above 42% before the Election? 🇺🇸🗳️🗽
34% chance
Will Biden's approval rating be above 40% on FiveThirtyEight as of August 1 2024?
18% chance
Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go below 35% before the Election?
23% chance
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be higher than 45% on election day?
21% chance
If Biden is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
20% chance
Will Joe Biden have a positive net approval in his first term?
10% chance
Joe Biden will end his first term with an approval rating below Trump's at the end of his first term (34%).
25% chance