This question will resolve YES on January 1, 2023
34
7
Ṁ36kṀ420
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES on January 1, 2023 (or as soon as possible afterwards if I forget on that day).
This question is meant to find out to what extent Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and what the implied discount rate is. Similar to https://manifold.markets/Nu%C3%B1oSempere/this-question-will-resolve-positive but notice that loans were available when that market was created, and are no longer available now. So this is partly to find out how much of a difference the outstanding loans made.
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🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
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