This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029

Plus

29

Ṁ70582029

94%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2029. This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is. Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, the half-life of the cost to invest here is about a month

Close date updated to 2029-01-01 11:59 pm

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and3.00

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