This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2023
99.7%
chance
This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2023. This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is. Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, you can bet the first M$20 for free.
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ElijahParker avatar
MattP avatar
Matt P
sold Ṁ8 of YES
"Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, you can bet the first M$20 for free." Not any more! They took that feature out.