resolved Nov 16

Speculation that Donald Trump will announce he is running for President of the United States received a heavy boost when he stated in a rally on November 7, 2022: "I'm going to be making a very big announcement on Tuesday, Nov. 15 at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald John Trump announces that he is running for president of the United States of America by November 15, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Donald Trump will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed to run for president of the United States, or whether he actually files to run for president in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his legal representation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Close date updated to 2022-11-16 6:59 am

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predicted NO

Welp i shouldn't have voted "no". Thought he would be running, but not that he would be anounced 15th november. which was a bit stupid, given how they said "announce something big"

predicted YES

Let's gooooo! Easy!

predicted YES


predicted YES

People in this comments section really need to chill.

predicted YES

exhibit A

This is free money right? The announcement happened?

predicted YES

@Rederth Barely, but yes the condition has been met

Trump's going to wait until midnigh and is shorting this stock himself as we speak

@Filo 🤣

He just announced.

@Cooley Yep, there it is.

This fella oughta close the market

@GeeblerTOKO He hasn't actually said that he's running yet, he will soon. No harm in leaving it open for a bit longer.

predicted YES

Gg fellas

He filed lets go

predicted YES

88% on an impending announcement and 90% on running at all seems not-quite-right, so here:

predicted YES

Though this one requires official filing, not just an announcement.

predicted YES

@NcyRocks Once you say it out loud you have to file immediately. That’s why he hasn’t said it explicitly already.

predicted YES

@BTE I thought he did say it explicitly? And he did file?

He will announce it I asked him pump pump pump

> But Jason Miller, an adviser to Trump, appeared on the podcast of the former president’s one-time chief political strategist Steve Bannon on Friday and insisted he would go ahead.
> “President Trump is going to announce on Tuesday that he is running for president, and it is going to be a very professional, very buttoned up announcement,” Miller said.
> He added that the former president told him: “Of course I’m running. I’m going to do this, and I want to make sure that people know that I’m fired up, and we’ve got to get the country back on track.”

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