This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2026
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1kṀ16kresolved Jan 6
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This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2026. This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is. Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, the half-life of the cost to invest here is about a month
Close date updated to 2026-01-01 11:59 pm
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@IsaacKing But apparently it won't resolve positively on the first of January.... Does that mean it resolves No? ;)
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