This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2027 | Manifold

This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2027

95

1.7kṀ61k

2027

98.8%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2027. This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is. Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, you can bet the first M$20 for free.

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