What will Trump's polling lead over Joe Biden on RCP be on April 1st 2024?
48
339
Ṁ5.3KṀ2K
resolved Apr 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%87%
0.6-1%
1.1%
0.1-0.5%
5%
1.1-1.5%
4%
1.6-2%
0.8%
2.1-3%
0.8%
>3%
1.3%
Trump won't be leading
0.2%
Other (Trump or Biden will have dropped out)
Trump's current lead is 1.9 points.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden
Resolved based on RCPs average spread on 1st April 0900h EST
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ261 | |
2 | Ṁ197 | |
3 | Ṁ147 | |
4 | Ṁ143 | |
5 | Ṁ95 |
Sort by:
since you all loved this so much i've created a new duplicate market for May here - https://manifold.markets/diadematus/what-will-trumps-polling-lead-over-23248ac7e834
Related questions
What will Trump's polling lead over Joe Biden on RCP be on May 1st 2024?
Will any Republican Primary National poll in April 2024 show >85% support for Trump?
4% chance
Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of May?
53% chance
Trump's favourables will be above 40% in a poll of polls in April 2024
69% chance
Will Biden pass Trump in these swing states for any time before May 1st? (RCP)
Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of October?
51% chance
Will any Republican Primary National poll in April 2024 show >83% support for Trump?
12% chance
Will Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight at the end of April?
3% chance
Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of September?
53% chance
Will Biden be ahead of Trump on 538's national poll at the end of Trump's Birthday? (June 14)
66% chance