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MANIFOLD
White House Correspondents Dinner [Mega Market] 👴🏻🎤 - 5PM PT Saturday
123
Ṁ15kṀ68k
resolved Apr 28
Resolved
YES
TikTok is mentioned by name, which means the word(s) “TikTok” said verbally and heard by human ears
Resolved
YES
Michael Che appears on camera in any capacity
Resolved
YES
Biden will speak before 11pm ET
Resolved
YES
Biden will speak before 10:45pm ET
Resolved
YES
Biden makes at least two old age jokes about himself.
Resolved
YES
More than three [US] states are named.
Resolved
YES
Jost references Scarlett Johansson
Resolved
YES
Putin is mentioned by name
Resolved
YES
Anyone delivers remarks “in character” as someone else
Resolved
YES
Trump's non attendance of Correspondents Dinners as President is referenced.
Resolved
YES
Someone makes a joke about newsroom layoffs this year
Resolved
YES
Taylor Swift is mentioned (including her music - i.e. Tortured Poets)
Resolved
YES
Trump is mentioned by name more than twice.
Resolved
YES
The petty Biden / A.G. Sulzberger feud / interview refusal is brought up
Resolved
YES
The names Barack, Michelle, or Obama are mentioned ("Obamacare" counts)
Resolved
YES
RFK Jr. will be mentioned by name.
Resolved
YES
The word “porn star”, or the name Stormy Daniels, is said by anyone.
Resolved
NO
Marjorie Taylor Greene [MTG] is mentioned by name.
Resolved
NO
Biden falls asleep or pretends to fall asleep
Resolved
NO
Biden’s dogs are referenced, in any capacity

Nerd prom”, what’s gonna happen this year?

Colin Jost (SNL) will be the host this year, and the President most typically also makes jokes at the dinner.

Feel free to add anything about the White House Correspondents Dinner. If the answers are not about the event this week, I will Resolve them N/A. Answers will Resolve YES if they happen during the televised portion of the dinner.

You can watch the event on C-SPAN.

Rules for submissions:

  • Be clear when a submission is about a candidate saying exact words, and use quotation marks around those words to indicate this.

  • Submit answers that might or might not happen, nothing too likely or unlikely.

  • Make your answer submissions as clear and descriptive as possible. I reserve the right to rephrase answers as needed.

  • Please do not submit subjective answers, everyone should agree if an option resolves yes or no regardless of their politics.

  • Please don't submit significantly more answers than anyone else.

  • I reserve the right to mark any answer as N/A for quality control reasons.

  • Submitted options may be edited to make the resolution criteria more objective.

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TV gif. White script scrolls across the red ringed Looney Tunes closing credit background. Text, "That's all folks!"
The Official boughtṀ300 NO

@mattyb Please resolve, thank you!

the price wasn’t mentioned, the stock was.

i’ve heard this said twice so far. we need one more

Jost made jokes about papers going out of business

this was “swing state polls say this will be the last of these dinners”, referencing Trump not attending before/again

“my wife”

Biden referenced her, Jost hasn’t spoken yet. She’s there

Stormy weather is Stormy daniels

reposted

I should have included a prop or made a market about how many viewers this Manifold TV event would get. It’s a lot more than I thought and way more than the NFL Draft event got!

he made one of them

@mattyb the colonies was also an old age joke

bought Ṁ20 NO

Really rolling through the IDF killing 100 journalists you'd think that would be a bigger deal at this event

bought Ṁ20 NO

Haha what an interesting meme format debuting here on C-SPAN

@Panfilo Will C-SPAN be the TikTok of Gen Alpha?

said by the impressionist

someone’s doing a Trump

Man imagine if we could bet on these

I believe this one was YES'd in the opening reel by SNL if that counts.

@Quroe was it Mike Johnson and a TikTok ban?

@mattyb From this segment.

sold Ṁ1 NO

@mattyb Footage counts because it was heard by human ears (mine)

They just dropped three states intro-ing this person

@mattyb ugh it’s more than 3

@mattyb washington is a state (though likely not the one they were referencing)