Will a debate be held between Joe Biden and Donald Trump before the 2024 US presidential election?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, before November 5, 2024, Joe Biden and Donald Trump participate in a live debate for presidential candidates, including a virtual debate.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
Dates and places for the 2024 debates were already announced by the Commission on Presidential Debates in November 2023, so it seems now that it's just a matter of whether the two candidates will actually agree to participate. There have also been debates in every election since 1976 according to English Wikipedia so an exception this year seems also unlikely.