What will Trump's polling lead over Joe Biden on RCP be on May 1st 2024?
28
1.4kแน4153resolved May 1
100%92%
1.1-1.5%
2%
0.1-0.5%
2%
0.6-1%
1.9%
1.6-2%
0.1%
2.1-3%
0.1%
>3%
1.5%
Trump won't be leading
0.1%
Other (Trump or Biden will have dropped out)
Trump's current (1st April) lead is 1.0 points.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden
Resolved based on RCPs average spread on 1st May 0900h EST
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน534 | |
| 2 | แน233 | |
| 3 | แน138 | |
| 4 | แน128 | |
| 5 | แน108 |