Will we get AGI before 2028?
Basic
115
24k
2028
36%
chance

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.

Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2028

Here are markets with the same criteria:

/RemNiFHfMN/did-agi-emerge-in-2023

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2025

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346 (this question)

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed

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/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2034

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2036

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2037

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2038

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2039

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2040

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2041

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2042

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2043

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2044

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2045

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2046

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2047

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2048

Related markets:

/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2027

/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2028

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2029

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2030

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2031

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2032

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2033

/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2034

Other questions for 2028:

/RemNi/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-l-069166147734

/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-5dd99d5a1e48

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-5553c437e8a4

/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7e534a91d188

/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo-0434665d77eb

/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-a408a64f3756

Other points of reference for AGI:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-xi-jinping-s

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent-549ed4a31a05

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-room

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-discover

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-1m-humanoid

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AGI achieved internally?

@RemNi (joking)