AGI defined as transformative, at least human-level, but potentially superhuman AI, capable of doing at least any cognitive task humans can do, at least at human level.
Related to: https://manifold.markets/MarioCannistra/will-we-get-agi-before-2026
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2030?
54% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
28% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
33% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
21% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
57% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
36% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
50% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
23% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
57% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
68% chance