Will we get AGI before 2027?
69
Ṁ1kṀ8.5kDec 31
6%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
AGI defined as transformative, at least human-level, but potentially superhuman AI, capable of doing at least any cognitive task humans can do, at least at human level.
Related to: https://manifold.markets/MarioCannistra/will-we-get-agi-before-2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2032?
62% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
24% chance
Will we get AGI before 2033?
63% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
52% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
57% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
64% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
65% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
45% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2031?
56% chance
Will we get AGI before 2037?
69% chance