When will the fourth Starship Test Flight End? [resolves to one only]
6
31
Ṁ635Ṁ640
Dec 31
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2%
Explode on launchpad
3%
Explode after clearing launch tower
5%
Explode on or after max Q
7%
Explode on or after stage separation
9%
Explode on or after second stage engine cutout
25%
Explode on or after beginning of re-entry
28%
Explode on second stage soft/hard touchdown
21%
No explosion of second stage
After seperation we ignore the first stage.
Disintegration on splashdown probably counts as an explosion but we'll have to discuss how disintegrated it is.
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