When will there be a 4th Starship Launch?
When will there be a 4th Starship Launch?
25
1.4kṀ15k
resolved Jun 6
100%98.7%
June
0.0%
January
0.0%
February
0.1%
March
0.2%
April
0.4%
May
0.2%
July
0.2%
August or later

Answer will be chosen based on the month of liftoff of the 4th SpaceX Starship flight from Boca Chica, Texas.

  • If the vehicle is damaged beyond repair during an orbital flight attempt (e.g. explodes on the pad before liftoff) it will still count as a launch.

  • If no launch occurs "August or later" will be selected.

  • If a launch lifts off before January 2024, "January" will be selected.

  • The flight must be enumerated as the 4th Starship flight by SpaceX.

  • The flight must have a planned altitude of at least 200Km.

  • All times are CT

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1y

The title and text are a little contradictory - the fourth Starship launch might happen In March say, but the fourth orbital Starship launch is highly unlikely to do so; that would require at least four more launches. A flight can be orbital below 200km apogee and can be non-orbital with apogee over 200km. I suggest you simplify to the fourth full-stack Starship launch and drop all references to “orbital”.

1y

@JonWharf True, there could be confusion between successful and attempted orbital flights. I updated the description.

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