T-1 min

Weather chances still looking good ~ 24h out

https://www.patrick.spaceforce.mil/Portals/14/Weather/04JUN24.pdf?ver=Jou3i2WRCzbB64Dow1vl4A%3d%3d

Launch conditions forecast 90% favorable

https://www.patrick.spaceforce.mil/Portals/14/Weather/Atlas%20V%20CFT%20L-1%20Forecast%20-%205%20June%20Launch.pdf?ver=bsqg9yv1DRGPLtGh7IaUFw%3d%3d

@parhizj I wanna vote Yes cos, they gotta fly at some point right? But otoh they sure do have a track record of delays 😭

Apparently they've already fixed the issue that caused the Saturday scrub, so looking good for a Wednesday launch

The earliest they will try to launch Starliner is the 5th or 6th, while Starship is NET than the 6th.

https://x.com/Commercial_Crew/status/1797017884184523133

Looks like they'll try for tomorrow.

And Starship is NET June 6

@mint Tbh that doesn't really say they'll go for it. Just that that's the next window. They don't really know enough yet to say AIUI.

@Mqrius Case in point, it's delayed till the 5th

There are backup opportunities to launch on June 2, June 5 and June 6, according to NASA.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/01/science/nasa-space-launch-boeing-starliner-scn/index.html

@Kire_ Can they actually recycle within 1 day?

@Mqrius "Possibly a 24h turnaround"

Though personally I doubt they'll make the 24h turnaround. Also not sure if they want to address the valve sensors that they had to switch over to the backup

People on discord are saying any hold like this is a scrub

All ISS launches use an instantaneous launch window so they can make the required trajectory

Any hold makes making that window impossible

Edit: Gif doesn't work. Sad.

Edit: Here

MOAR VALVES

@Mqrius "oops we accidentally started venting the helium tank"

They're loading up on the launchpad and this market's below 60%, really says something about the collective confidence in this vehicle.

To be fair a lot about it is new.

But yes.

@Mqrius (Also tbh I just decided to take my limited win and run, not sure if I wanna babysit this bet, considering going to touch grass instead)

Valves! Vaaaaaaaalves!

Since this might come down to the day: the actual moment of lift-off counts as launch. If they launch on the same second you're all getting a free cookie.

Damn, both are currently targeting June 1st, this really could go either way

@Nat On the one hand, the IFT-4 date seems a lot more tentative than the Starliner date, but on the other hand, Starliner has seen an absurd number of delays and who knows how many more there'll be