When will there be a 4th Starship launch?
51
522
Ṁ11KṀ1.8K
2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1.4%
2024-05-01 (On or before)
4%
2024-05-10
10%
2024-05-15
32%
2024-05-20
57%
2024-05-25
69%
2024-06-01
94%
2024-07-01
Each date resolves YES if a 4th Starship launch, intended to reach space, takes place on or before that date (local time at the launch site). Otherwise NO.
A "launch" is defined as the vehicle lifting off the pad, however slightly, under thrust from its engines.
"Starship" is defined as any vehicle designs descended from the existing designs of Starship - i.e. if they make substantial changes or rename the vehicle, it still counts. But a vehicle based on e.g. the Falcon 9 would not count, even if SpaceX called it a Starship.
Only missions with a planned trajectory that reaches space (100km altitude) count. So a 10km altitude flight test does not count.
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