How many Starship launches will there be in 2024?

Plus

Ṁ28k

Dec 31

95%

2-4

98.4%

3-5

99%

4-6

5-7

1.3%

Resolved

0-2

Resolved

1-3

Trying out a new format

Resolves to all true answers

Launch is defined as: countdown reaches zero on a launch attempt and engines ignition

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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1-3 can resolve no now there have been 4

4-6 is pretty certain too.

sold Ṁ47 2-4 YES

0-2 can resolve no now there have been 3

filled a Ṁ80 1-3 YES at 75% order

Does the First Launch resolve 0-2, and 1-3?

@notarealuser

No. The question will resolve at the end of the year to what is true then.

@JoshuaWilkes One option or all true Answers?

@notarealuser all true answers

(This is in the description)

@JoshuaWilkes ik. but i was confused if the lower range voided the option or not

@notarealuser I don't really understand. But hopefully it's clear now?

@JoshuaWilkes yes. thanks

What is your definition of a 'starship'?

In my mind a 'ship' can carry people, and landers/rovers/probes and not 'ships', even if they (say) get a machine from Earth to Mars. Do they count as 'ships' to you?

And a 'starship' perhaps implies being able to go to another star-system, as opposed to merely travelling within our own solar system. (But I gather you don't intend that?)

@MatthewLeong

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_Starship

@JoshuaWilkes - Ah, it is a branded proper noun, got it.

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