Will anyone be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2023?
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resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

https://futureoflife.org/video/slaughterbots/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/STM_Kargu

Must be capable of killing one person in a crowd, in a person-sized attack.

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predicted YES

A quick Google search doesn't turn anything up.

predicted YES

@MartinRandall Looks like those are carrying larger explosives that couldn't kill just one person. Getting close though!

How do you define "aerial drone"? Does it require propellers like a quadcopter?

predicted NO

@Isaac228c what's an example of something you're unsure he's allow?

bought Ṁ30 of NO

@DesTiny hellfire r9x style variant

predicted NO

@Isaac228c Is that a drone? seems like just a missile, but idk.

predicted YES

@Isaac228c That doesn't seem capable of seeking out and killing only a specific person inside a crowded building, so no.

It doesn't need to be a quadcopter, nor a copter at all. Any method of propulsion is fine, as long as it displays the same sort of pinpoint accuracy displayed in the slaughterbots video.

@Isaac228c probably this (nearly got kasparov, too!):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4f-kD-pl1ng

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Isaac what are you planning

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