Will OpenAI and DeepMind merge?
12
52
แน253แน100
2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
6%
Yes, they will merge or announce intention to merge/form a single company
14%
They will announce / release a joint capability (not safety) related project.
This tweet rumors that they will combine into one entity.
https://x.com/yumidiot/status/1786347985867247717
If this has occured or an agreement has been officially announced by 12/31/2024 (even if later rescinded) this will resolve YES for merge. Alternatively, if Sam Altman and Demis Hassabis both leave OpenAI and Deep Mind to form / join a new company, it will resolve YES.
If merge resolves YES, joint project will resolve NO. Joint project will resolve YES only for capabilities, including a model, data share, or compute. (I'll interpret this broadly as long as it's not primarily for safety.)
Get แน600 play money
Related questions
Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2025? (1000 mana subsidy)
26% chance
Will interest in DeepMind overtake OpenAI at any point before 2025?
25% chance
Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)
64% chance
Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind suffer a significant security incident by the end of 2024?
64% chance
Will Anthropic and OpenAI collaborate substantially on a research paper before 2025?
51% chance
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
22% chance
Will general consensus be that OpenAI is no longer the lead AI company by end of 2024?
34% chance
Will the world's first general artificial intelligence come from OpenAI? [M$300 liquidity subsidy]
50% chance
Will the world's first superintelligence come from OpenAI? [M$300 liquidity subsidy]
32% chance