Will anyone die from a weaponized pathogen invented by AI by 2029?
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23
Ṁ9772029
15%
chance
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1W
1M
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This market resolves "yes" if a major U.S. news outlet reports one or more human fatalities caused by a pathogen whose structure was invented by an ML model. A human must prompt the ML model to create the pathogen with the explicit intention to kill humans.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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