Will anyone commit suicide due to fears of anti-aligned AI before 2030?
122
2kṀ74502030
87%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be pretty clear that this was the primary reason for the sucide. Mentioned it in their suicide note, had expressed such fears to aquaintances, took steps to ensure their brain was unrecoverably destroyed, etc.
It must be a true counterfactual suicide, where they wouldn't have just done it for some other reason if they didn't know about AI risk.
The reason for the suicide must be fearing a fate worse than death from an AI that chooses to make humans suffer in some way rather than killing us outright.
If this has already happened in the past, I'll count that too.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will someone commit violence in the name of AI safety by 2030?
65% chance
Will someone take desperate measures due to expectations of AI-related risks by January 1, 2030?
67% chance
Will someone take desperate measures due to expectations of AI-related risks by January 1, 2035?
91% chance
How many months until the first human commits suicide due to fears from AI?
50
Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030?
10% chance
Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?
29% chance
By 2028, will I believe that contemporary AIs are aligned (posing no existential risk)?
33% chance
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
33% chance
Will misaligned AI kill >50% of humanity before 2040?
14% chance