Will Björn Höcke be a member of the first cabinet sworn into office after the 2024 election in Thuringia?
6
36
150
2025
15%
chance

Björn Höcke is the leader of the right-wing party Alternative für Deutschland in Thuringia. By courts decision it is legally possible to call him a fascist and the Office for the Protection of the Constitution considers his party to be 'verified right-wing extremist'.

Polling sees his party at a major lead with 36%, 16 points ahead of the runner up.

https://politpro.eu/en/thuringia

This question will be resolved on the basis of news coverage after the election on 22nd of September 2024. It will be resolved when there's credible reporting of a new PM in office and that that PM has appointed all ministers. The question will resolve YES, if Björn Höcke is elected PM or assume office as a minister. It will resolve NO in all other cases (e.g. him assuming office as a state secretary).

I will not bet on this market.

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His party is still polling at 36% according to this article about the debate. Y’all sure he’s not going to become a minister?

https://www.dw.com/en/germany-state-cdu-afd-leaders-clash-in-thuringia-tv-duel/a-68799274

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Think this all depends on if BSW competes.

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