Which party will provide the new Prime Minister of Thuringia after the 2024 state election?

Basic

Ṁ2328

Oct 31

86%

CDU

0.9%

AFD

SPD

1.5%

Green Party

1.3%

FDP

Linke

The next election in Thuringia is scheduled for 1 September 2024.

The current government is a minority government consisting of Linke, SPD, and Green Party, led by Mr. Ramelow of Linke.

The latest polls predict that the right wing party AFD will become the largest party, the first time in Germany since the end of Nazi Germany. But will it be able to form a government, i.e. find coalition partners that together constitute 50% of elected parlamentarians?

I missed Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW, but anyway it's extremely unlikely that it will provide the new PM.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Holy shit the three loony parties (AfD, Linke, BSW) might actually get a majority altogether. Good thing BSW only agrees with AfD on hating immigrants and with Linke on hating economics, nothing else, so they won't band together. It's gonna be an interesting time ahead.

bought Ṁ50 YES

maybe add BSW? does not seem so unlikely anymore, they are 3 precentages behind CDU https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/thueringen.htm

bought Ṁ10 YES

Resolution is the one with the most seats, or the one who provides the PM?

@pierrebezukhov the one which provides the Prime Minister. E. g. It won't be AFD in case it becomes the largest party, but cannot form a government.

@BernhardS Then question should be "which party will provide the Prime Minister" only, since including "which party will win" implies that party would also need to win the popular vote to resolve yes

@Creagle I changed the title as you suggested.

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