The next election in Thuringia is scheduled for 1 September 2024.
The current government is a minority government consisting of Linke, SPD, and Green Party, led by Mr. Ramelow of Linke.
The latest polls predict that the right wing party AFD will become the largest party, the first time in Germany since the end of Nazi Germany. But will it be able to form a government, i.e. find coalition partners that together constitute 50% of elected parlamentarians?
I missed Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW, but anyway it's extremely unlikely that it will provide the new PM.
Related questions
Resolution is the one with the most seats, or the one who provides the PM?
@pierrebezukhov the one which provides the Prime Minister. E. g. It won't be AFD in case it becomes the largest party, but cannot form a government.
@BernhardS Then question should be "which party will provide the Prime Minister" only, since including "which party will win" implies that party would also need to win the popular vote to resolve yes