Will Jair Bolsonaro be taken to jail until the end of 2024?
Plus
36
Ṁ6388Dec 31
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Bolsonaro has been under investigation by the Supreme Court over his role in the pro-Bolsonaro riots of January 2023:
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/year-after-pro-bolsonaro-riots-dozens-arrests-brazil-106167040
Will he end up in jail?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
https://noticias.uol.com.br/colunas/raquel-landim/2024/11/28/bolsonaro-golpe-entrevista.htm
Good chance of this happening now as he is saying he would try to get asylum in some embassy, in doing so he is giving reasons to his temporary arrest.
bought Ṁ50 YES from 68% to 73%
Related questions
Related questions
Jair Bolsonaro arrested before December 31, 2025?
55% chance
When will Jair Bolsonaro receive his passport back?
Will Bolsonaro lose his political rights without being arrested?
24% chance
Will Trump spend any time in jail by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?
71% chance
Will any member of Bolsonaro entourage be charged for taking bribes from the Saudis before 2027?
35% chance
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
80% chance
Will Rep.-elect George Santos appear in court or in custody in Brazil (including through extradition) before the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Lula da Silva still be alive through the end of 2024?
98% chance
Bolsonaro sentenced (unappealably) to prison or house by May 25, 2025
6% chance