Will the SPD enter the Saxony state parliament in the upcoming election?
7
23
200
Sep 1
73%
chance

In the Saxony state election, the Social Democratic Party (SPD) is teetering on the edge, polling close to the 5% threshold. If they fail to cross this mark, they won’t secure any seats in the parliament.

Resolves YES if the SPD manages to garner more than 5% of the vote, securing representation.

Resolves NO If the SPD falls short of the 5% threshold, leaving them out of the parliament.

I'll use the projects available the day after the election if they report at least 6%. If it's closer than that, I'll extend the market until the formal results are available.

Get Ṁ200 play money