Will the SPD enter the Saxony state parliament in the upcoming election?
Basic
12
Ṁ2626resolved Sep 3
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
In the Saxony state election, the Social Democratic Party (SPD) is teetering on the edge, polling close to the 5% threshold. If they fail to cross this mark, they won’t secure any seats in the parliament.
Resolves YES if the SPD manages to garner more than 5% of the vote, securing representation.
Resolves NO If the SPD falls short of the 5% threshold, leaving them out of the parliament.
I'll use the projects available the day after the election if they report at least 6%. If it's closer than that, I'll extend the market until the formal results are available.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which party will be in the government following the 2024 Saxony state election?
Will Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW be part of the next German federal parliament?
61% chance
Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
44% chance
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
36% chance
Which of these parties will get seats in the German Bundestag after the next federal election?
Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?
Government coalition following the 2024 Saxony state election?
Will the upcoming state elections in Thuringia and Saxony give rise to at least one CDU-led minority government?
92% chance
Will die Linke win any seats in the next German federal election?
41% chance
Will the AfD be the party with the most votes in eastern Germany in the next federal election?
79% chance