Will the SPD enter the Saxony state parliament in the upcoming election?
12
200Ṁ2626resolved Sep 3
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
In the Saxony state election, the Social Democratic Party (SPD) is teetering on the edge, polling close to the 5% threshold. If they fail to cross this mark, they won’t secure any seats in the parliament.
Resolves YES if the SPD manages to garner more than 5% of the vote, securing representation.
Resolves NO If the SPD falls short of the 5% threshold, leaving them out of the parliament.
I'll use the projects available the day after the election if they report at least 6%. If it's closer than that, I'll extend the market until the formal results are available.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ59 | |
2 | Ṁ25 | |
3 | Ṁ17 | |
4 | Ṁ16 | |
5 | Ṁ10 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will SPD be officially part of the next Czech government?
30% chance
What share of the vote will the SPD receive in the next German federal election?
16% chance
Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?
Which ministries will be given to the SPD in the next German cabinet (if CDU/CSU and SPD form a coalition)?
What share of the vote will BSW receive in the next German federal election?
5% chance
Which parties will gain seats in the next Thuringian state election?
Will the CDU in eastern german states try to form a government with the far-right AfD after the next election?
10% chance