Will the Green Party get any seats in the Thuringia state elections?
13
200Ṁ2728resolved Sep 14
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
In the latest four polls, the Greens had 5% of the votes. If they fall below the 5% threshold, they get no seats at all.
Resolves according to the results of the 2024 Thuringian state election on September 1.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ141 | |
2 | Ṁ94 | |
3 | Ṁ37 | |
4 | Ṁ28 | |
5 | Ṁ11 |
Sort by:
@marktwse Resolves NO.
Wikipedia updated to the official final results; the Greens, as previously reported, got only 1.6% in the constituency vote and 3.2% in the party list, for 0 seats.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the AfD receive >= 20% of votes in the 2025 German federal election?
88% chance
Will the AfD be the party with the most votes in eastern Germany in the next federal election?
92% chance
Will the SPD or AFD receive more seats in the next federal election of Germany?
Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections?
Will SPD and Greens combined win more seats than CDU/CSU in the 2025 German federal election?
29% chance
Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
19% chance
Which of these smaller parties will get seats in the new German Bundestag?
Will die Linke win any seats in the next German federal election?
89% chance
What share of the vote will the Greens receive in the next German federal election?
14% chance
Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (Grüne)
3% chance