Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030?
16
1kṀ2792030
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
WEIRD = Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, Developed.
List of WEIRD countries for the purposes of this market:
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Canada
Czech Republic
Denmark
Estonia
France
Greece
Germany
Iceland
Italy
Latvia
Luxembourg
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
United States
Successful means the attackers must stay in government for more than six months.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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