Will any of the following Western countries abandon democracy by 2030?
Basic
10
227
2030
17%
chance

WEIRD = Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, Developed.

List of WEIRD countries for the purposes of this market:

  1. Australia

  2. Austria

  3. Belgium

  4. Canada

  5. Czech Republic

  6. Denmark

  7. Estonia

  8. France

  9. Greece

  10. Germany

  11. Iceland

  12. Italy

  13. Latvia

  14. Luxembourg

  15. Netherlands

  16. New Zealand

  17. Norway

  18. Spain

  19. Sweden

  20. Switzerland

  21. United Kingdom

  22. United States

The abandonment has to be indefinite. If, say, a prime minister asserts emergency powers and then restores them within less than three months, that would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Get Ṁ600 play money