When will OpenAI release Sora 2?
12
1kṀ4170
2026
9%
Before October 2025
45%
Before November 2025
82%
Before December 2025
85%
Before January 2026
91%
Before February 2026
85%
Before March 2026
90%
Before April 2026

Sora 2 refers to a video generation AI model generally expected to be called Sora 2. It would be the next major iteration of the Sora series of model by OpenAI.


To count as released, the model must be accessible to some people outside OpenAI, and be officially announced. If it's banned in some country, this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this also counts as a release. If it's available to some users on an official OpenAI website, this is also sufficient.

See also:

/Bayesian/when-will-google-release-gemini-3

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-5

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt6

/Bayesian/when-will-anthropic-release-claude-qZd5QEQ225

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4

/Bayesian/when-will-meta-release-llama-5-6h9UypqOdp

/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-a-browser

/Bayesian/when-will-tesla-launch-unsupervised

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-their-next

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-sora-2 (this market)

/Bayesian/when-will-thinking-machines-announc

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