🏅 Top traders

down to 17.0!!!

@strutheo YouGov has had Haley a lot lower than Morning Consult the last two polls, to an extent that seems unlikely to be chance. (No one else has a pol from February)

coming up-> /strutheo/will-nikki-haley-have-at-least-20-o-af707163b286

still 17.6...

she's at 17.8 now

@strutheo i wonder what losing to “none of these candidates” will do to that morale

bit later -> /strutheo/will-nikki-haley-have-at-least-20-o-35925b6320bd

one day earlier - mardi gras -> /strutheo/will-nikki-haley-have-at-least-20-o-5be1e79b91b9

Is basically no one polling this race anymore lol

@MarkHamill not much going on until Super Tuesday, so I would expect them to conserve their resources until later in the month.

shorter time span :

/strutheo/will-nikki-haley-have-at-least-20-o-b8115c302e1c

I think she'll drop out by 14 Feb. [edit: I hadn't realized SC's primary was so late]

@burkh4rt

https://manifold.markets/jack/will-nikki-haley-drop-out-before-so

@GCS Not before her home state though : )

haley has 17.4%!

She's at 16%, less than 4% to go with 2+ weeks!

I think it’s interesting that the little peaks and valleys of Desantis’ long demise so closely match those of Trump’s rise. Conversely, Haley has been slowly and persistently rising without matching either of their patterns. Now there are only two—I wonder if their trajectories will be more matched, or if Biden or third parties will have an influence.

she's at 14.5% with over 2 weeks to go