Battery and Energy Storage Industry

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Will CATL's new 500 Wh/kg battery be commercially available in 2023?NO

#New Year's Resolutions 2024

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Will sodium-ion batteries be commercially available before the end of 2024?84% chance

#Electric Vehicles

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Will an electric vehicle containing a Sila Nanotechnologies >10% silicon anode be commercially available by the end of 2025?33% chance

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Will there be QuantumScape batteries in VW vehicles by 2024?4% chance

#Ancient Markets

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Will Lithium stop being the most popular rechargeable battery chemistry before 2100?62% chance

#Long-term Markets

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Will the USA have >=1TWh/yr of installed lithium ion battery production capacity by 2030?63% chance

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Will a new solid-state battery with an energy density exceeding 400 Wh/kg be commercially released by the end of 2024?28% chance

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What will the $/kWh price for battery cells be at the end of 203058

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Will the first EVs using sodium-ion battery technology ship in 2024?YES

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What will the $/kWh price for battery cells be at the end of 202583

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Before 2030, Toyota will be selling cars with solid-state batteries with a >=1000km range chargeable in under 15 minutes18% chance

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Will ev battery swapping stations exist in the US by 2024?NO

#New Year's Resolutions 2024

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Will any Volkswagen vehicle sold in 2024 contain a solid-state battery?5% chance