Will Lithium stop being the most popular rechargeable battery chemistry before 2100? | Manifold

Will Lithium stop being the most popular rechargeable battery chemistry before 2100?

Battery and Energy Storage Industry•Energy•Long-term Markets

10

696

Ṁ141

Ṁ1.1K

2099

62%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if Lithium is not the #1 rechargeable chemical battery chemistry by market share during any year before 2100.

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bought Ṁ10 of YES

market share meaning newly produced batteries or existing? and market share by kwh capacity or dollar value?

predicts NO

@brubsby newly produced, kWh if reliable data available, otherwise dollar

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Including grid scale batteries I assume?

predicts NO

@ArunJohnson and cars, yes. Not including any other energy storage methods used in the same application such as supercapacitors, hydrogen, flywheels, compressed air and so on and so forth

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Will Lithium specifically be identified as a contaminant responsible for the modern obesity crisis?

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Will someone sell a non-lithium EV before 2025?

Will electricity be free in most developed countries by 2100

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Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Will the phaseout of Coal from the UK power grid be completed as planned in September 2024?

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Will fusion provide >10% of US electrical power by 2100?

Will fusion provide >30% of US electrical power by 2100?

Related questions

Will lithium ion (LFP) cell prices fall by 50%, or pack prices by 40%, in 2024?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Will someone sell a non-lithium EV before 2025?

Will silicon carbide be in widespread use as a structural material before 2100?

Will electricity be free in most developed countries by 2100

Will Lithium specifically be identified as a contaminant responsible for the modern obesity crisis?

Will nuclear fusion become a viable energy source before 2050?

Will electricity be too cheap to meter by 2100?

Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?