[Metaculus] Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026?
32
328
Ṁ6.7KṀ590
resolved Nov 30
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
The question resolves Yes if Sam Altman is announced as OpenAI's CEO and returns to the position before January 1, 2026.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ265 | |
2 | Ṁ245 | |
3 | Ṁ124 | |
4 | Ṁ119 | |
5 | Ṁ57 |
Related questions
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2027?
30% chance
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before 2030?
80% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI on January 1st 2025?
94% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI when it releases AGI?
43% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?
91% chance
Will Sam Altman stop being the CEO of OpenAI again at any point before 2028?
34% chance
[Metaculus] Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?
3% chance
Will Sam Altman be a co-founder of a serious OpenAI competitor by EOY 2024?
5% chance
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2028?
45% chance