Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI on January 1st 2025?
12
56
250
2025
94%
chance
  • If OpenAI does not exist in January 1st 2025:

    • And a clear successor organization exists:

      • If Sam Altman occupies an unique (within this successor organization) office of roughly equivalent executive power, this resolves as YES.

    • Otherwise, this resolves as NO.

  • If OpenAI still exists in January 1st 2025, but has no CEO:

    • If Sam Altman occupies an unique (within OpenAI) office of roughly equivalent executive power, this resolves as YES.

    • Otherwise, this resolves as NO.

  • This market will not resolve until January 1st 2025.

    • As it is possible that Sam Altman ceases to be the CEO of OpenAI, and then returns before that date.

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