5
62
180
2025
37%
chance

I’ve been calibration-grinding for a good minute. My calibration has been stuck at about -0.01 since January 15th, and can’t seem to make it to a perfect 0.

Will my calibration fall to -0.02 before it hits the perfect 0?

Note, the chart must have some dots on it for this to count. Sometimes the charts error out and say 0 but don’t show any dots. This doesn’t count here. Any genuine screenshot of my calibration either above or below -0.01 will cause this market to Resolve. Market will extend until my calibration isn’t -0.01.

My calibration’s viewable here: https://manifold.markets/mattyb/calibration

Also, this is technically possible, and @ChristopherRandles has a 0 calibration at time of posting:

Inspired by @Bayesian‘s markets here:

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"Any genuine screenshot of my calibration either above or below 0.01 will cause this market to Resolve" Your calibration is -0.01 right now, and I would bet on this, but I can't tell how this will resolve based on your description

@RichardK @Bayesian you may wanna update yours as well.

it’s dumb that our calibrations are all negative.

Your calibration is -0.01 right now, and I would bet on this, but I can't tell how this will resolve based on your description

Yea, sorry about this. I had it all positive, but it’s clear in the description that I’d been “stuck” at the number i said incorrectly consistently. even incorrect, it’s clear what i meant.

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