Mini
24
6.8k
2025
99%
Prize Points are awarded from league prizes
96%
At least 1 market created by @mint is designated as a Prize Market
91%
At least 1 numeric market is designated as a Prize Market
85%
Prize Points are redeemable for cash
82%
Users in at least 1 non-U.S. jurisdiction are not able to earn cash prizes but _are_ able to participate in markets using Mana
64%
At least 1 independent multiple choice sports market (all answers) is designated as a Prize Market
63%
Prize Points are redeemable for digital goods/cosmetics on Manifold
59%
Users in at least 1 non-U.S. jurisdiction are able to earn cash prizes
47%
Prize Points are redeemable for Manifold merch
45%
A non-Manifold employee (i.e. a moderator) can designate a market as a Prize Market
35%
There is a way in the Manifold UI for users to propose markets to be designated as Prize Markets
34%
Ability to earn real cash prizes is implemented by end of June (per May 1st announcement: "we aim to launch this in 1-2 months")
28%
There is a way for users to propose their market to be designated as Prize Markets during market creation
24%
At least 1 market with wording in the title referencing unrelated Manifold functionality (ie “subsidy”, “add your own”, etc) is designated as a Prize Market
22%
A multiple choice market can be designated as eligible for Prize Points only for some answers in the market but not others
19%
Prize Points are redeemable for gift card(s)
5%
This market is designated as a Prize Market
4%
At least 1 death market is designated as a Prize Market
4%
At least 1 assassination market is designated as a Prize Market
Resolved
YES
Donations are no longer be honored at the original 100 mana : 1 USD after May 15th

Bottom line up front: I'm very interested in how Manifold will evolve this year toward this "cash prizes via sweepstakes" initiative. Most initial answers come from Manifold's official May 1st announcement about this initiative.

--

Maybe I missed it, but I haven't seen any open-ended markets specifically focused on how Manifold will work once it rolls out its cash prizes sweepstakes (i.e. the Pivot):

For ease of resolution, answers will resolve YES if they are true at any point prior to January 1st, 2025, regardless of whether they are definitively related to implementation of the cash prizes via sweepstakes initiative and regardless of whether they are implemented and then undone prior to 2025.

Names in answers referring to a thing, (i.e. "Mana" for play money, "Prize Points" for sweepstakes prizes) should be understood as representative of the underlying thing unless the answer is specifically about naming of the thing. i.e. if there's an answer like "Prize Points are redeemable for cash" and Prize Points are renamed to Win Points or something else, I'll update the answer to say "Win Points are redeemable for cash".

If an answer is unclear, ask in the comments. I reserve the right to reword answers myself to make them clearer.

I will use my judgment to resolve or not resolve subjective answers as I see fit, or N/A them where I feel resolving either YES or NO would be inappropriate or unduly unfair. Also, I want this to be a high-quality market about this important initiative, so I may N/A submissions for any reason.

Comments are encouraged to help notify me that answers can be resolved and to facilitate speedy resolution. I reserve the right to resolve NO any answer for which sufficient evidence is not provided.

Get Ṁ600 play money
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bought Ṁ221 Answer #8609e7364d08 YES
Prize Points are awarded from league prizes
bought Ṁ223 Prize Points are awa... YES

Resolves yes

@nikki I don’t believe this has actually happened yet so will leave this open until this month’s league closes and the prize points are actually awarded.

bought Ṁ139 Answer #0f159d2bf960 YES

Resolves yes

According to standup notes from Friday, @IngaWei will be implementing this 🎉

reposted

Lots of activity on this market today given yesterday’s release of Prize Points

Not yet…

At least 1 market with wording in the title referencing unrelated Manifold functionality (ie “subsidy”, “add your own”, etc) is designated as a Prize Market

None yet…

sold Ṁ48 Answer #96493c936799 YES

I need to check the desktop UI, but I think this resolves NO

Confirmed. $14.99 on iOS, $13.99 on desktop for 10k mana. Resolves NO.

bought Ṁ100 Answer #0f159d2bf960 YES

UI says this should be the case, but if someone who gets a referral could confirm this is working, that would be appreciated!

bought Ṁ100 Answer #9d94e2194028 YES

Resolves yes

Donations are no longer be honored at the original 100 mana : 1 USD after May 15th
bought Ṁ175 Donations are no lon... YES

Resolves yes

Resolves yes

bought Ṁ216 Answer #b43e52a7f68f YES

Resolves yes

bought Ṁ50 Answer #852d09513d21 YES
At least 1 market with wording in the title referencing unrelated Manifold functionality (ie “subsidy”, “add your own”, etc) is designated as a Prize Market

Resolves NO if a market is made a Prize Market and then renamed to remove such wording within 24 hours.

bought Ṁ7 Answer #b0497299fe02 NO

Prize points redeemable for digital goods is duplicated

@asmith Fixed; renamed to gift cards.

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