Will I see statistically significant difference in calibration when using 20 minutes vs 3 minutes in betting on markets?
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Dec 31
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In my n=1 experiment.

I'll pick random markets on browse/random. I'll alternate between spending 5 minutes and 20 minutes pricing the market. I'll make 100 bets using each strategy. If I calculate calibration separately for each betting strategy, will I end up with a statistically significant brier score between the two?

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Can you describe the exact test you will use for significance?

@koadma Yes, 20 minutes is a lot, how many will you really do?