Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2024?
15%
chance
Jan 1, 2025
M$91 bet
Sinclair

Sinclair Chen bought M$1 of NO17 days ago

I don't have a super informed opinion of this, but this analysis doesn't contain that much info I didn't know already, and I'm not personally alarmed. China doesn't profit that much from having Taiwan over it being independent