MANIFOLD
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?
23
Ṁ1kṀ1.6k
2027
24%
chance

This question will be resolved as 'yes' if AP, Reuters, and AFP unanimously report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan. If one or more of those agencies cease to exist, the reporting from the remaining agency(ies) will be considered sufficient.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy