Taiwan possesses four island groups off the coast of mainland China: Kinmen, the Matsu Islands, Wuqiu, and Penghu.
China might opt to seize one or more of these islands in the coming years, either to test American and Taiwanese resolve, as a bargaining chip, as salami tactics, or as part of an invasion or naval blockade.
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands before the end of 2024?
Same question except:
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@nathanwei Definitely has not happened. It's been in 2025 in Asia for some hours now. Does Manifold have policies about when 2025 officially starts? Pacific Standard Time? Or local time?
China is holding military drills around Taiwan. So far, drills are smaller in scale than those carried out in 2022 in response to Nancy Pelosi's visit, but this time include mock attacks on Kinmen and Matsu (Reuters). Below is a BBC map comparing drill areas according to China Central Television:
