Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
Mini
20
2.1k
2029
35%
chance

This question will be resolved as 'yes' if AP, Reuters, and AFP unanimously report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan. If one or more of those agencies cease to exist, the reporting from the remaining agency(ies) will be considered sufficient.

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