Will prediction markets on individual deaths continue to be allowed on Manifold?

20

410Ṁ1671

resolved Dec 31

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YES

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Will prediction markets on individual deaths continue to be allowed on Manifold?

Some people find them bad or distasteful, and it seems like the sort of thing that might plausibly violate other website rules.

There's been some controversy about such markets following the FTX debacle.

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Six months after Jimmy Carter dies, who will be the primary death market of choice for Manifold users to create/bet on?

Will US real-money prediction markets create significantlty more shenanigans according to Manifold ?

Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?

Will Manifold implement another way to handle conditional markets before 2026?

Will Manifold provide native functionality for prediction competitions?

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Will someone commit murder for the sake of a Manifold death market by the end of 2030?

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