Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028? | Manifold

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

153

1.1kṀ14k

2029

65%

chance

1H

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1D

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Resolves YES if at least one prediction market platform has more than 1 million daily active users by 2028. Also resolves YES if an online sports betting platform has those engagement numbers AND has a substainstial component that is about politics, science, and other real-world events. So for example, I don't think that Betfair currently counts but it might in the future.

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